Analyzing the Vaxed and UnVaxed Data – Why is the CDC not Transparent?

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Many in America are facing a very difficult decision very soon – to take the Covid vaccine or not. The reality is that vaccine passports will be required to be able to participate in society are becoming more of a reality. This can even extend to your employment and/or your ability to buy or sell in our economy.

Most of the unvaccinated just want honest data to help make these decisions. We see many headlines coming from organizations like the Associated Press that scream out and say; “Nearly all COVID deaths in the US are now among unvaccinated.” “Nearly all?” Really? That’s quite an impressive statement to make.

As an example, here is an analysis that is an attempt to convince us by the numbers – that by far the vaccinated vs. unvaccinated, you are far better off being vaccinated. Here is an excerpt of this report, though be it only from Indiana.

The vast majority of new COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in 2021 have been among unvaccinated Hoosiers. Even as the delta variant circulated the state more widely in recent days and more breakthrough cases among vaccinated Hoosiers are being reported, the incidence rate is still extremely lopsided.

The chart below from this report shows the breakdown between COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in 2021 comparing unvaccinated Hoosiers to vaccinated Hoosiers. The vast majority of new virus activity has occurred among the state’s unvaccinated population.

Vax vs Unvax August 2021

In this report, the death rate of vaccinated vs. unvaccinated is 98.7% vs. 1.3%. Wow, is this proof positive?

This analysis needs a little deeper understanding. The above report takes its data starting in 2021 when the Covid death rates were high, the vaccination rates were nill and the seasonality of Coronaviruses began to subside as the year rolled out. Large-scale full vaccination rates didn’t really kick in until around the May 1st, 2021 time frame. To mix data in this analysis on these various events that were in flux, could skew the data categorization and make it hard to draw conclusions. Correlations do not necessarily mean causality. Is one measuring the vaccination effectiveness or some other possible effect? For example:

  • Better Covid remedies.
  • Coronavirus seasonality.
  • Testing regime change.
  • Change in data collection regime.

Take a look at the US data of Covid deaths and vaccine doses from the CDC as of the date of this post that shows this – see here source data.

CDC-Covid-Deaths-August-2021So what data set could one believe to try to convince the unvaccinated to get vaccinated? Here is what this author would like to see.

  • A data set to compare vaccinated vs unvaccinated deaths.
  • Weekly statistics once the vaccination rates were sufficient – starting about May 1st, 2021.

When searching the internet for this data, it is hard to come by, except anecdotal regional areas that are difficult to understand in full context. Take a look at this excerpt of what the CDC says about their Covid-19 vaccine breakthrough case investigation and reporting – see here.

As of May 1, 2021, CDC transitioned from monitoring all reported vaccine breakthrough cases to focus on identifying and investigating only hospitalized or fatal cases due to any cause. This shift will help maximize the quality of the data collected on cases of greatest clinical and public health importance.

In other words, we have no data to answer the question many unvaccinated Covid people want to know. This poses a question for the CDC as to why they made this decision in the way they did. Is it a noble lie of omission to get us vaccinated for our own good?

Millions of Americans say they don’t plan on getting immunized for Covid, but that vaccine hesitancy now appears to be giving way to vaccine shaming. Instead of shaming and make mandates to the unvaccinated, why not start just giving good data, and perhaps it would dispel the vaccine hesitancy.

The fact that the CDC won’t do this just fuels the conspiracy theories. What is the CDC hiding that they don’t want us to know? I will let you go down this rabbit hole.

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